WIZARDOFODDSMARKET INTELLIGENCE
CONNECTING—
LIVE ORDER FLOW / SPOT MARKETS

BTC market pulse

Worldwide BTC/USD spot data. Up to 15 verified exchanges.

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BitcoinBTC · USD
BTC BULL & BEAR FORECASTNext 15 minutes
—BULL SCORE / 100
Upward move
—BEAR SCORE / 100
Downward move
Awaiting model

Collecting evidence

The 15-minute forecast needs a model that passes validation.

Based on CVD, absorption estimates, and traded volume.

Bull —Bear —Neutral —

Bull and Bear scores are estimated probabilities on a 0–100 scale. Neutral is the remaining probability of little movement.

Target: future reference price versus the price at issue time.

No active modelCollecting evidence
MARKET ACTIVITY

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Median spot price across exchanges
Waiting for live observations
MEASURED OUTCOMES

Prediction journal

Waiting for forecasts

Checking prediction feed quality…

Recorded forecasts0No outcomes yet
Directional call accuracy—Nonoverlapping calls only
Probability error · Brier—0 is best · multiclass range 0–2
Nonoverlapping outcomes0Collecting evidence

Results begin after a qualified model issues forecasts and their horizons expire. No historical predictions are invented.

Latest 20 forecasts · Chicago time
Issued / expiresForecastBull / BearReference / outcomeResult
Waiting for recorded forecasts
Does predicted probability match observed frequency?

Each row groups probabilities for one outcome. Results use nonoverlapping forecasts from this model. Small groups are inconclusive.

Outcome / probability bandPredictedObservedSamples
Waiting for evaluated forecasts
LIVE ORDER FLOW

CVD, volume & absorption

Waiting for data
CUMULATIVE VOLUME DELTA—

Aggressive buys minus sells · BTC

Session restarts when active feed coverage changes or the collector restarts.

TRADED VOLUME · LAST 30 SECONDS—

USD traded notional

Aggressive buys—
Aggressive sells—

Waiting for observed trades

ABSORPTION ESTIMATE · 30 SECONDS—

Waiting for a full observation window

Sell-side
Buy-side

Score from −100 to +100. Estimates opposing liquidity from trade imbalance and limited price movement. This is a proxy, not confirmed passive fills or a probability.

BTC/USD spot feeds · observed activity within current coverage
ExchangeSession CVD (BTC)30s volume (BTC)30s delta (BTC)Absorption estimate

CVD accumulates executed buy volume minus executed sell volume from the displayed session start. Totals cover the fresh feeds shown above, not the entire global market. USD-quoted books may pool USD and USD stablecoins; stablecoin-quoted pairs are excluded.

WORLDWIDE PUBLIC DATA

Top BTC/USD feeds

Checking 15 candidates

Up to 15 verified spot markets, ranked within our coverage by reported 24-hour USD volume. Public feed access does not imply trading-account eligibility.

Verifying BTC/USD feeds…

RECEIVE PERFORMANCERolling p50
—Decode + processing
—Local queue delay
—Exchange → receiver

Delivery includes exchange publishing, network routing and clock differences.

MODEL STATUSWalk-forward validation

Collecting evidence

The current baseline is experimental. A replacement needs to pass chronological validation before activation.

BITCOIN HISTORY

From the beginning

Loading history
Network records—
USD price records—
Latest daily price—

Historical data is being downloaded.

Daily history provides long-term context. Live predictions still require recent order-flow data and a model that passes validation.